Gold prices end with 1% weekly gain

Gold futures rose on Friday as weakness in the dollar helped prices finish the week about 1% higher. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index was down 0.8%, poised for a loss of 0.9% for the week. The dollar softened and some “momentum and positioning for next week” may have given gold an “extra boost,” said Jeff Wright, chief investment officer at Wolfpack Capital. February gold rose $12.40, or 0.9%, to settle at $1,334.90 an ounce, marking the highest finish since Sept. 11, according to FactSet data. The weekly rise was also gold’s fifth in a row.

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Trump extends sanctions relief for Iran

President Donald Trump has extended sanctions relief for Iran, which will keep the Iran nuclear agreement intact for another several months, a senior administration official said Friday. At the same time, the Trump administration announced new sanctions not related to the nuclear agreement, targeting Iranian officials over human-rights abuses. The official said it’s the last time Trump will issue a waiver over the nuclear agreement unless the multilateral deal is altered.

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Baker Hughes reports first weekly rise in U.S. oil-rig count in 5 weeks

Baker Hughes on Friday reported that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling for oil climbed by 10 at 752 this week. The oil-rig count had fallen by 5 last week, and it hasn’t posted a rise since the week ended Dec. 8. The total active U.S. rig count, which includes oil and natural-gas rigs, also rose by 15 to 939, according to Baker Hughes. February West Texas Intermediate crude was up 15 cents, or 0.2%, from Thursday, to $63.95 a barrel, up a bit from shortly before the rig data, but well below the day’s high of $64.23.

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Wheat prices aim for lowest finish year to date as USDA reports higher-than-expected plantings

Wheat futures fell Friday, poised for their lowest finish since late December. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported that planted acres of winter wheat for 2018 are expected to total 32.6 million acres, down less than 1% from 2017. “U.S. wheat planted acres were higher than expected, actual U.S. feed usage of wheat was down and Russia production was higher than expected, resulting in record wheat exports out of Russia,” said Sal Gilbertie, president and chief investment officer at Teucrium Trading LLC. March wheat fell 2.4%, at $4.23 a bushel. Corn futures also fell, with the March contract down 0.5% at $3.47 a bushel. March soybeans added 0.4% to $9.53 a bushel.

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2018 should be ‘boring’ in terms of Fed policy, Harker says

The U.S. central bank should be able to avoid drama like the infamous “taper tantrum” of 2013, said Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, on Friday. “We’ve learned the lessons of the past and are being thoughtful and watchful as the year unfolds,” Harker said. “While it should be a year of developments, it should also be a boring one,” he said. Harker said the Fed has never before faced a need to shrink its balance sheet from $4.5 trillion, but said the process should remain “slow” and “mechanical.” The Philadelphia Fed President, who is not a voting member of the Fed’s interest-rate committee this year, said he thinks two rate increases this year would be the appropriate path of policy.

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UPDATE: Tesla’s new production targets are ‘finally beatable’, says bullish Instinet analyst

Tesla Inc.’s fourth-quarter deliveries came in below expectations, but progress made in Model 3 production and more realistic production targets left Instinet analyst Romit Shah feeling pretty bullish on the stock. “While our forecasts decrease for the first half of 2018, we are encouraged by the progress on Model 3 production and continue to expect Tesla to deliver substantial (+100%) revenue growth in 2018,” Shah wrote in a note published Friday following a series of electric vehicle announcements at this weeks CES show in Las Vegas. “We believe that Tesla may have finally set a beatable production target while also allowing itself to address customer feedback and prioritize quality control.” While GM’s Chevy Bolt electric vehicle finished the year on a strong note and along with the Nissan Leaf offers the main competition for Tesla, “we believe that these vehicles are in distinctly different classes relative to Tesla’s lower to mid-luxury Model 3 sedan,” said Shah. On the Byton, the international brand of Chinese EV startup Future Mobility Corp., Shah said Chinese original equipment manufacturers seem best equipped to challenge Tesla, but are likely to focus for now on their huge domestic market and expected growth in the luxury segment. “China remains Tesla’s third largest region and second largest country by sales volume, per our estimates,” said the analyst, who rates Tesla a buy. Tesla shares were slightly higher on Friday, but have gained 46% in the last 12 months, while the S&P 500 has gained 22%.

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Holiday retail sales increased 5.5% in 2017, exceeding the National Retail Federation forecast

Retail sales during the holiday season rose 5.5% in 2017 to $691.9 billion, exceeding the National Retail Federations forecast of a 3.6%-to-4% increase. The final total represents “the strongest gain since the Great Recession,” the group said Friday. The organization credits low unemployment, strong consumer confidence, a rising stock market and income raises for the showing. There were increases across all retail categories except sporting goods, which was down 0.5% year-over year. Building materials and supplies stores were up 8.1%, furniture and home furnishings grew 7.5% and electronics and appliance stores were up 6.7%. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF is up 20.1% for the last three months, outpacing the S&P 500 index, which is up nearly 9%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which is up 12%.

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U.S. business inventories increase 0.4% in November

Business inventories in the U.S. rose 0.4% in November after no change in the prior month, the Commerce Department said Friday. Sales jumped 1.2% in the month. The ratio of inventories to sales, meanwhile, fell to 1.33 from 1.34. That’s how many months it would take to sell all the inventory on hand. One year ago, the inventory-to-sales ratio was higher at 1.40, reflecting an excessive buildup in production not matched by sales. Now companies appear to have a better handle on inventories.

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Pound hits highest level since 2016 on report Spanish, Dutch want soft Brexit deal

The pound on Friday reached its strongest level against the U.S. dollar since the June 2016 Brexit referendum, extending gains following a Bloomberg report that Spanish and Dutch finance officials will work toward the EU reaching a so-called soft Brexit deal with the U.K. Sterling hit an intraday high of $1.3693, the highest the June 2016 Brexit referendum that sent the pound tumbling from around $1.50 on the day of the vote. A soft Brexit arrangement would aim to keep U.K. financial and trade as close to the EU as possible after Britain’s expected exit from the bloc in 2019. Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos and his Dutch counterpart Wopke Hoekstra met this week and their concerns include losing the U.K.’s contributions to the EU, according to the report.

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Performant’s stock rockets after winning contract to collect on defaulted federal student loans

Shares of Performant Financial Corp. rocketed 39% in active morning trade Friday, after the company said it won a new contract to provide collection services on defaulted federal student loans. Volume topped 1 million shares within a minute after the open, compared with the full-day average of about 39,000 shares, according to FactSet. The company said the Department of Education has capped the total award amount for the contract, which runs from Jan. 11, 2018 through Jan. 10, 2023, at $400 million. Performant said it didn’t expect to recognize “meaningful” revenue from the contract until nine or tenth months after placements begin, and expect to incur additional expenses in the short term as it prepares initiate services under the new contract. The stock has rallied 21% over the past 12 months, while the S&P 500 has climbed 22%.

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